BUSINESS

A New Wave in U. S. Oil Production: Offshore Takes the Lead

Wed Oct 15 2025

The U. S. oil industry is experiencing a significant shift. Offshore drilling in the Gulf of Mexico is stepping into the spotlight as onshore production slows down. Lower oil prices and aging shale fields are making it harder for onshore to keep up.

New Technology and Government Support

New technology is making offshore drilling more attractive. It allows for drilling in high-pressure areas, which was not possible before. The U. S. government is also making it easier for companies to invest in offshore projects. Friendly regulations and lower royalty rates are helping.

Current and Future Production

Offshore production makes up about 15% of the U. S. total oil output. However, it is expected to drive growth in the coming years. The break-even price for offshore drilling can be as low as $20 per barrel, much lower than the average onshore break-even price of $48.

The U. S. Energy Information Administration predicts a rise in Gulf of Mexico output. It is expected to reach 1.89 million barrels per day in 2025, a significant increase from last year. Onshore production, however, is expected to grow by only 190,000 barrels per day this year.

Investments and Future Prospects

Companies like Chevron are investing heavily in offshore projects. They expect a 50% increase in production over the next two years. New technology is unlocking previously inaccessible oil reserves, which could add up to 5 billion barrels of crude oil to production.

The U. S. government is also planning to sell drilling rights in the Gulf of Mexico. This will encourage more companies to invest in offshore projects. Lower royalty rates will make these projects more profitable.

questions

    How do the break-even prices for offshore drilling compare to onshore drilling, and what factors influence these costs?
    What specific technological advancements have enabled high-pressure offshore drilling, and how do they compare to previous drilling technologies?
    Could the increased focus on offshore drilling be part of a larger geopolitical strategy to influence global energy markets?

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