People currently seem to think that Donald Trump will not secure the Republican presidential nomination, while J. D. Vance and Marco Rubio also appear unlikely to win their party's nomination. On the Democratic side, Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and Pete Buttigieg all look like poor bets for the top spot. Senate map watchers are divided: Republicans seem set to lose seats in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, but Democrats appear poised to take the Mississippi Senate race. In Alaska specifically, Mary Peltola looks favored to win, while Dan Sullivan and Ann Diener both seem doubtful. When it comes to the ultimate presidential contest, JD Vance, Gavin Newsom, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez all appear headed for defeat. The overall mood feels deeply split, with v