Allies Worry About US Reliability as Trump Pushes Aggressive Moves
Middle East, Europe, Indo-PacificSun May 10 2026
The US President’s recent decisions—like pulling troops from Germany and threatening to reduce forces in other NATO countries—have made allies question whether America will still stand by them in a crisis. These actions come as tensions with Iran escalate, with some European and Middle Eastern partners feeling left out of key decisions. Instead of uniting against Iran, Trump’s approach seems to be pushing allies to rethink their dependence on the US.
Even before the Iran conflict, Trump’s policies—like tariffs on imports and cutting aid to Ukraine—had already strained relationships. His latest moves, such as ignoring Iran’s attacks on a Gulf ally, have made partners like the UAE wonder if the US will protect their interests. Some leaders now see Trump’s unpredictability as a bigger threat than Iran itself.
Europe is reacting by strengthening its own defenses. Countries like Germany and France are investing more in military technology and reducing reliance on the US. But they’re also stuck in a tough spot—while they want to stand up to Trump, they still need America’s protection against threats like Russia. One European diplomat admitted they’re just trying to survive Trump’s leadership until he leaves office in 2029.
Meanwhile, Trump’s tough talk hasn’t gone unnoticed by rivals like China and Russia. China, facing energy shortages from the Iran war, sees an opening to position itself as a more stable partner. Russia, meanwhile, is profiting from higher oil prices caused by the conflict. Both countries are watching closely, ready to take advantage of any US weakness.
For Asian allies like Japan and South Korea, Trump’s erratic behavior raises concerns about America’s long-term commitment. If the US hesitates to help in a crisis—like a potential conflict with China over Taiwan—these countries may seek new alliances. Japan’s former foreign minister warned that trust in the US is fading, which could reshape security in the region.
The Iran war has exposed cracks in global alliances, with partners now hedging their bets. Some, like Poland, argue that Europe just needs to spend more on defense to reduce reliance on the US. But others fear Trump’s unpredictability could lead to bigger problems down the line. Whether this marks a permanent shift in global power remains unclear, but one thing is certain: trust in the US is taking a hit.