CRYPTO

Bitcoin's Big Dip: What's Shaking Up the Crypto World?

Tue Nov 04 2025

Current Value and Market Sentiment

Bitcoin's value has been on a wild ride lately, with a significant drop bringing it below $104,000. This sharp decline has sparked intense discussions and big bets on its future trajectory.

Polymarket Predictions

On Polymarket, a platform for crypto bets, the outlook appears gloomy:

  • 71% chance Bitcoin will drop below $100,000 this month (up from 57% the previous day).
  • 40% chance Bitcoin will hit $115,000 or more (down from 53%).
  • 20% chance Bitcoin will reach $120,000.

Traders have already bet nearly $5 million on these outcomes, with Binance overseeing the action. Note that U.S. participants are currently excluded, but this may change soon.

Market Impact

The downward spiral isn't isolated. In the last 24 hours, over $400 million was wiped out from the Bitcoin derivatives market, with $387 million from failed bullish bets.

Expert Perspectives

Not everyone is panicking. Experts like Willy Woo view this as a normal cycle:

  • Long-term holders (those holding Bitcoin for more than five months) are transferring coins to new investors.
  • This trend is seen as a healthy sign of a bull market rather than a cause for concern.

Current Price

Bitcoin is currently trading at $103,859.32, reflecting a 3.25% drop in the last 24 hours.

questions

    What are the potential biases and limitations of relying on Polymarket predictions for Bitcoin's future price?
    Are the recent predictions of Bitcoin's price drop a form of market manipulation to create panic selling?
    If Bitcoin drops below $100,000, will we see a surge in people selling their mining rigs on eBay?

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