FINANCE

Brazil's Budget Puzzle: What's Next After Congress Drops the Ball?

Tue Oct 21 2025

Brazil's government is in a bit of a pickle. They need to figure out how to fill a hole in their 2026 budget. This happened because a plan to raise more money didn't get approved in time.

The Plan

The plan was pretty straightforward. It included:

  • Changes to how investments are taxed
  • Higher taxes for fintech and online betting companies
  • Limits on tax breaks for businesses
  • Stricter rules for some social benefits

The government thought this would bring in a lot of money, but it didn't happen.

Why?

Because many lawmakers didn't want to raise taxes. They're not fans of the current president's policies. So, the plan expired without a vote. Now, the government is asking Congress to delay the 2026 budget vote again. They need more time to fix things.

The Next Steps

The Finance Minister, Fernando Haddad, said they'd make a decision by Tuesday afternoon. He mentioned they might bring back parts of the plan, like:

  • Limits on tax breaks
  • Higher taxes for betting companies

The big question is, will Congress go for it this time? Or will Brazil's budget remain a puzzle?

questions

    What alternative measures could Brazil consider to achieve the 0.25% primary surplus target?
    How does the political climate influence the decision-making process for budgetary adjustments?
    How might the delay in the 2026 budget bill affect Brazil's fiscal stability?

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