BUSINESS
China's Economic Slowdown: The Real Story
ChinaMon Sep 30 2024
China, the world's second-largest economy, is facing a prolonged economic slowdown. The country's factory activity has contracted for five straight months, with a purchasing managers' index (PMI) reading of 49. 8 in September. While this is higher than expected, it still indicates a contraction in manufacturing activity. The PMI is a widely followed indicator of economic health, and a reading below 50 signals a contraction.
Despite the contraction, the data shows that some industries are still driving growth. High-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing are leading the way, with production levels increasing at a faster pace than other sectors. However, this is not enough to offset the decline in other areas, such as retail sales and industrial production.
The slowdown is attributed to a combination of factors, including a prolonged economic downturn, a property crisis, and Western restrictions on Chinese exports. The Chinese government has responded by cutting interest rates and reducing reserve requirements for banks. It has also called for an end to the property decline and emphasized the need for stronger fiscal and monetary policy support.
While the government's efforts have boosted market confidence, the economic situation is still precarious. China's industrial profits have plunged by 17. 8% from a year ago, and retail sales and industrial production have grown at slower rates than expected. The country's top leaders have convened high-level meetings to address the crisis, but more needs to be done to get the economy back on track.
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questions
What is causing the prolonged economic slowdown in China?
Is the property crisis in China a result of a conspiracy to control the housing market?
Can an end to the property decline help revive China's growth momentum?
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