A Soviet Spacecraft's Long Journey Back to Earth

EarthFri May 09 2025
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A Soviet spacecraft, Kosmos 482, is on a collision course with Earth. This is not a dramatic movie plot, but a real-life event happening soon. The spacecraft, which has been orbiting Earth for about 50 years, is expected to make an uncontrolled reentry into Earth's atmosphere. This event is set to occur sometime between the evening of May 9 and the morning of May 10. The exact time is uncertain, with estimates varying by a few hours. The European Space Agency (ESA) and Kayhan Space, a Colorado-based space technology company, are both tracking Kosmos 482. They predict slightly different reentry times, but both agree it will happen within a specific window. The uncertainty is due to the unpredictable nature of atmospheric drag at lower altitudes. This makes it challenging to pinpoint the exact time and location of the reentry. Kosmos 482 is a small, roughly 3-foot-wide craft weighing about 1, 091 pounds. Despite its size, it could potentially land anywhere between 52 degrees north and 52 degrees south latitude. This vast area includes most of the world's major populated regions. However, the odds are heavily in favor of it landing in the ocean, as most uncontrolled space debris does. The spacecraft was originally part of the Soviet Union's Venera mission to explore Venus. It was launched in 1972 but failed to reach Venus due to a rocket malfunction. Instead, it has been stuck in an elliptical orbit around Earth ever since. Kosmos 482 was designed to survive a fiery descent through Venus' atmosphere, so it is likely to stay intact as it crashes to Earth. This event is a reminder of the growing problem of space junk. There are over 1. 2 million pieces of debris larger than 0. 4 inches in Earth's orbit. Uncontrolled reentries are becoming more common, with large objects re-entering the atmosphere multiple times a day. As more satellites are launched, it is crucial for space agencies to have plans for controlled reentries and invest in debris removal technology. The likelihood of Kosmos 482 hitting a person is extremely low, estimated at one in several thousand. However, this does not mean the event should be taken lightly. The increasing number of uncontrolled reentries highlights the need for better space debris management. It is a complex issue that requires international cooperation and innovative solutions.
https://localnews.ai/article/a-soviet-spacecrafts-long-journey-back-to-earth-318d6656

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