Crime Rates Plummeting Across America: What's Behind the Big Drop?

USAThu Jan 01 2026
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In a surprising turn of events, the United States is seeing a huge drop in homicides. Experts believe that by the end of 2025, the country will have seen the biggest one-year drop in homicides ever recorded. This news comes from early crime data collected from 550 police departments. The numbers suggest that homicides could fall by about 20% nationwide. Even if the actual drop is slightly less, it would still be the largest decrease ever seen in a single year. This isn't the first time crime rates have dropped recently. In 2024, homicides fell by 15%, which was a record at the time. The years before that also saw decreases, with 13% in 2023 and 6% in 2022. Experts are using a tool called the Real-Time Crime Index to track these changes. This tool collects monthly crime data from police departments all over the country. The official numbers from the FBI won't be out until 2026, so for now, analysts are relying on these early estimates.
The drop in crime isn't just limited to homicides. Other types of crime are also going down. Aggravated assaults are down by 8%, and car thefts have fallen by 23%. Several big cities are seeing their lowest homicide rates in decades. For example, Detroit, Philadelphia, and Baltimore are expected to have their fewest murders since the 1960s. So, what's behind this big drop in crime? Some experts believe it's because things are finally getting back to normal after the COVID-19 pandemic. During the pandemic, courts and schools were closed, and police had to change the way they worked. But as things have started to return to normal, crime rates have started to fall. In New York City, homicides are down by more than 20% compared to last year. Shootings are also at historic lows. This is great news for everyone, as it shows that the efforts to fight crime are working.
https://localnews.ai/article/crime-rates-plummeting-across-america-whats-behind-the-big-drop-9338d821

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