BUSINESS

Manufacturing Slump: Tariffs Take a Toll on U. S. Factories

USA, Los AngelesWed Sep 03 2025

Manufacturing Shrinks for Sixth Straight Month

Key Points:

  • Manufacturing has been shrinking for six months.
  • Tariffs are a major contributing factor.
  • Some industries are worse off than during the Great Recession.

Grim News from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM)

The ISM's survey reveals:

  • Manufacturing is still in a slump.
  • The PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) is below 50, indicating decreased production.
  • Economists' hopes for improvement were not met.

Tariffs: A Major Obstacle

Impacts of Tariffs:

  • Increased costs for parts and materials.
  • Difficulty in manufacturing within the U.S.
  • President Trump's tariffs intended to help, but many factories are struggling.

Construction Spending on the Decline

  • Spending on construction dropped in July.
  • Down nearly 7% from last year.
  • A court ruled most of Trump's tariffs illegal, adding uncertainty.

Industry-Specific Struggles

Industries Feeling the Pinch:

  • Paper products
  • Machinery
  • Electronics

Industries Reporting Growth:

  • Textile mills
  • Primary metals

Hiring Freezes and Layoffs

  • Factories are not adding many new jobs.
  • Layoffs and freezing open positions are common.
  • Longer delivery times and high material prices persist.

A Glimmer of Hope: Investment in AI and Tech

  • Factories are spending more on AI and technology.
  • This trend is helping to offset some tariff troubles.
  • Economists predict this trend will continue.

Uncertain Future

  • Some tax breaks might help later.
  • For now, factories are waiting to see what happens.
  • The future remains uncertain with tariffs causing significant challenges.

questions

    How come the only thing growing faster than factory spending on AI is the confusion about what AI actually does?
    How might the ISM survey's methodology influence the perception of manufacturing conditions?
    What specific data points would be necessary to accurately assess the impact of tariffs on U.S. manufacturing?

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