Market Fluctuations Hint at Possible Harris Win

On Monday, the market showed signs that could suggest some investors believe Vice President Kamala Harris might become the next president. CNBC's Jim Cramer explained that while the polls are close, some traders think Harris could pull off a win. They might be reacting to a surprising poll from Iowa, a state that's traditionally voted Republican but now shows Harris leading. This could mean other red states might go blue as well. Some sectors had a good day on Monday, like home builders. Companies like DR Horton, Lennar, and Toll Brothers went up. This could be because investors think Harris's plans for first-time home buyer aid and tax breaks will help them. Companies that rely on imports, like Constellation Brands and E. l. f. Beauty, also did well. This could be because Harris has a more moderate trade stance compared to her opponent, who wants to add more duties. But not all sectors were happy. Tech giants like Amazon and Alphabet went down. This could be because traders think Harris will keep up with the Biden administration's tough stance on big business. But Cramer warned that traders aren't always the best at predicting the future. They're good at guessing what other traders will do soon, but that's not always a good reason to change your investment plans.