Melissa's Path: A Slow-Moving Storm Brings Big Rain

CaribbeanSat Oct 25 2025
Tropical Storm Melissa is taking its time in the Caribbean. It's not in a rush, but that's not good news. It's expected to turn into a hurricane and dump a lot of rain on Jamaica and Haiti. This could cause serious flooding and landslides. The National Hurricane Center says Melissa will get stronger over the next day or two. By Sunday, it could be a major hurricane. That means winds of at least 111 mph. Right now, it's about 230 miles southeast of Kingston, Jamaica. It's moving at just 2 mph with winds of 60 mph. The storm is expected to get close to Jamaica early next week. By the middle of next week, it could be near eastern Cuba. A hurricane watch is in effect for parts of Haiti and Jamaica. A tropical storm warning is also in place for the same areas. Forecasters say southern Haiti could see "catastrophic flash flooding and landslides. " Melissa could bring 10 to 20 inches of rain to southwestern Haiti and eastern Jamaica by Monday. There's also a risk of minor coastal flooding in Jamaica, with a chance of a more significant storm surge along the south coast. The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season is shaping up to be an active one. Melissa is just the latest storm to form in the region. It's important for people in the affected areas to stay informed and prepared.
https://localnews.ai/article/melissas-path-a-slow-moving-storm-brings-big-rain-409d6c24

questions

    How do historical data and current observations compare in predicting the behavior of Tropical Storm Melissa?
    Are the weather agencies exaggerating the storm's impact to test emergency response systems?
    What are the potential biases in the forecasting models used to predict the path and intensity of Tropical Storm Melissa?

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