People currently seem to think that Super Typhoon Dolphin will hit China, with a strong leaning towards a yes. This feeling is also reflected in expectations for Japan, where the majority of people believe the typhoon will make landfall. However, when it comes to the number of earthquakes worldwide, the current feeling is that there will be fewer than a certain benchmark, with a clear favor towards no. This mixed outlook is also seen in expectations for the strength of Super Typhoon Dolphin's landfall, with a strong leaning towards no. On the other hand, people seem to think that the highest recorded wind speed on Mt. Washington in August will be at least a certain benchmark mph, with an overwhelming favor towards yes. Additionally, there is a clear leaning towards yes for a Super El Niño this winter, and a strong favor towards no for a minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer below a certain benchmark square kilometers.

Mixed Signals in the Weather Forecast

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