BUSINESS
Russia's Tax Shift: A Breather for Small Businesses
Thu Nov 06 2025
Russia's government has decided to ease up on a planned tax increase for small businesses.
Gradual Adjustment of Tax-Free Revenue Threshold
- Initial Plan:
Businesses with revenues between 10 million and 250 million roubles to pay a 5% VAT starting in 2026.
- Adjusted Plan:
- Tax-free revenue threshold will drop gradually:
- 60 million roubles in 2026
- 15 million in 2027
- 10 million in 2028
Businesses' Concerns and Government's Response
- Businesses' Argument:
The tax hike would hurt many, possibly forcing closures.
- Government's New Plan:
- Better than the original but not as favorable as businesses hoped (they wanted a 30 million roubles threshold).
Broader Context
- Purpose of Tax Hike:
Raise funds for military spending and address the budget deficit.
- General VAT Rate Increase:
- From 20% to 22%, expected to generate about 1 trillion roubles.
Impact on Small and Medium-Sized Businesses
- Economic Significance:
- Make up more than a fifth of Russia's GDP.
Employ about 31 million people (40% of the total workforce).
- Definition:
Up to 250 employees and annual revenues of up to 2 billion roubles.
- Expected Revenue:
- Around 200 billion roubles (about 2.5 billion dollars).
Government's Consideration and Future Implications
- Government's Decision:
Shows responsiveness to business concerns.
- Future Outlook:
- Significant change affecting many businesses.
- Uncertainty about further adjustments based on feedback.
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questions
Is the phased implementation of the VAT hike a tactic to gradually condition businesses and consumers to accept higher taxes?
Are the proposed VAT changes part of a larger plan to consolidate financial control over small businesses in Russia?
Will small businesses start measuring their revenue in 'Mishustin Rubles' instead of regular rubles to avoid the VAT hike?
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