POLITICS

Storm Warnings: What's Happening with America's Weather Service?

USAThu Feb 06 2025
Trying to track a hurricane when you're short on staff and facing major cuts. That's the reality for the National Weather Service (NWS). The agency, which helps keep Americans safe during storms, is facing big challenges. The NWS is dealing with low staffing levels. This isn't something new; it's been a problem for a while. But now, things might get even worse. There's talk about a so-called "buyout" offer, where employees can leave their jobs with some extra money. This could lead to a 5-10% drop in staff. Imagine you're a weather forecaster. You're already exhausted from long hours and tough conditions. Now, add fewer people to help you track and predict storms. That's a recipe for mistakes. Picture this: You're a hurricane forecaster. You track storms. You call local leaders. You do all this while working rotating midnight shifts. It's not easy. There's 12 people who do all of thistracking for the National Hurricane Center. The job is intense. You're not just tracking storms anymore. You're calling governors and mayors, giving them crucial updates. That takes its take toll. Though weather forecasting has come a long way, there are parts of the job that technology just can't replace. Think about it. Computers can't build trust with local leaders. Computers can't call up a mayor and give them accurate and timely information. Human interaction is key in this job. Every second counts during a storm. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the parent agency of the NWS, might have a new leader. Neil Jacobs, an atmospheric scientist, has been selected to head NOAA. Jacobs is no stranger to controversy. In 2019, during a hurricane debate, he backed up President Trump's false claims about the storm's path. Several former NOAA officials say Jacobs is a good pick. He knows the agency well. They just hope he learns from his past mistakes. The big question remains, can Jacobs stand up to political pressure? Past issues show he was unable to push back against pressure. The looming threat of Project 2025, which advocates for a privatized or more algorithmic approach, adds to the uncertainty. Also, the idea of replacing humans with AI is a hot topic. Many though are questioning whether it will work. Pictures of a hurricane-warning center where experts hustle to predict storms while handling the physical toll of long shifts, consuming coffee and managing stress.

questions

    If AI takes over forecasting, will we need to call emergency managers 'AI alarmists' to prepare for storms?
    Is the 'deferred resignation program' at NOAA part of an orchestrated effort to weaken the agency and pave the way for privatization or increased political influence over its operations?
    How effective are the current diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) efforts within NOAA, and how might these efforts be impacted by recent external access to agency IT systems?

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