Trump's Tariff Tangle: Businesses Left in the Dark

Businesses across the U. S. are feeling the heat from President Trump's unpredictable trade policies. Take Marc Rosenberg, for example. He's the brains behind The Edge Desk, a company in Illinois that's all set to launch a high-end ergonomic chair. The catch? He's not sure how much to sell it for, or even how many to bring in from China. Why the hesitation? Blame it on Trump's back-and-forth tariff tactics. One day, he's slapping 25% taxes on imports from Canada and Mexico. The next, he's making an exception for autos, but only for 30 days. It's a rollercoaster, and businesses are struggling to keep up. Trump's tariff game isn't just about slapping taxes on imports. It's also about the confusion and uncertainty it causes. Businesses have to figure out which suppliers to use, where to set up factories, and what prices to charge. And that uncertainty can lead to delayed or canceled investments, which isn't great for economic growth. Economists like Eswar Prasad from Cornell University warn that this uncertainty is a big problem for multinational companies. They have to deal with complex supply chains that stretch across multiple countries. And when the rules of the game keep changing, it's hard for them to make solid plans. Trump's first term was tough on businesses, but his second term is even worse. Back then, he targeted specific goods like steel, aluminum, and most goods from China. Now, he's using a national emergency declaration to impose tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China. And he's not done yet – he's planning to hit countries with higher import taxes than the U. S. with "reciprocal tariffs. " Douglas Irwin, an economist at Dartmouth College, points out that this isn't good for trade agreements. If the president can unilaterally impose tariffs, what's the point of having agreements in the first place? But what's Trump's endgame? Sometimes he talks about border security, other times it's about generating revenue for the Treasury. And sometimes, he just points to America's trade deficits. It's all a bit muddy, and that makes it hard to predict when or if the tariffs will go away. Businesses are left scratching their heads. They're not sure what the rules are, or if they're even playing the same game anymore. Take Gregory Husisian, a trade lawyer. He's heard from multiple companies that they're holding off on investments until things settle down. The tariffs are causing real problems for businesses. A transportation equipment company said customers are pausing on new orders because of the uncertainty. A chemicals company complained about the volatility caused by the tariffs. And John Gulliver, president of the New England-Canada Business Council, said the tariffs are putting everybody off balance. Take Taylor Samuels, owner of Las Almas Rotas, a bar and restaurant in Dallas. He relies on Mexico for much of his alcohol. The tariff uncertainty is forcing him to rethink his plans to build a new restaurant. Sandya Dandamudi of GI Stone, a stone supplier in Chicago, said developers are having to rethink their plans too. And Holly Seidewand, owner of First Fill Spirits in New York, said her plans for the future have been put on hold. She can't expand her inventory or add more shelving until things settle down.