What Happens After Prison: The Surprising Truth
Wed Nov 06 2024
Have you ever wondered if ex-convicts usually go back to committing the same crime? Researchers have dug into this question using a complex math tool known as the trivariate Weibull survival model. Instead of focusing on each type of crime separately, like sex offenses or violent crimes, they looked at how these crimes might be connected. Here's what they found: sex crimes and violent crimes often happen together. But get this, ex-convicts are more likely to commit different types of crimes after release than to repeat the exact same pattern of violent crimes followed by sex crimes. Isn't that a surprising twist?
It turns out that the connection between crimes is more complex than we might think. After serving time, ex-convicts don't just keep doing the same thing. They often branch out into other types of criminal activities. This means that understanding the links between different crimes can help us predict and prevent future offenses better.
https://localnews.ai/article/what-happens-after-prison-the-surprising-truth-d5a47e4e
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questions
How does the relaxation of the independence assumption affect the model's predictions compared to traditional models that assume independence?
Could the higher probability of other crimes be a result of a cover-up operation to make sex and violent crimes seem less frequent?
What are the implications of the higher correlation between sex crimes and violent crimes for law enforcement strategies?
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