What's Next for Leaders in the US and Israel

People currently seem to think JD Vance will not win the next United States presidential race. Gavin Newsom also looks like a doubtful choice. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez does not appear to be a favored option either. The mood around the White House feels uncertain, with expectations leaning away from these names.

Congress is another big story. Expectations appear to be leaning toward Democrats keeping control of the House. Republicans look doubtful about taking charge. For the full balance of power, Democrats holding both the Senate and House seems possible. A split with Democrats in the Senate and Republicans in the House looks unlikely. Republicans in the Senate with Democrats in the House also seems out of reach.

Over in Israel, the picture is mixed. Will Benjamin Netanyahu be prime minister again? People are divided, with a slight lean toward no. Naftali Bennett looks like a no. Yair Lapid also looks like a no. Likud winning the most seats seems favored. Other parties taking the lead looks doubtful.

Right now, the atmosphere feels shaky. Some expectations are strengthening while others are weakening. These are only current guesses, not promises. It is worth asking what might change these views.