POLITICS
Who's Ahead in the Swing States?
USASun Nov 03 2024
In the final days before the election, a poll by Siena College and The New York Times has shown some interesting shifts in the swing states. Kamala Harris is leading Donald Trump in Nevada, North Carolina, Wisconsin, and Georgia. But Trump is ahead in Arizona.
The poll, released on Sunday, surveyed over 7, 800 likely voters in seven key states. It has a margin of error of about 3. 5 points.
In Pennsylvania and Michigan, the candidates are neck and neck. But in Nevada, Georgia, and North Carolina, Harris has gained ground. Trump, on the other hand, has closed the gap in Pennsylvania.
The poll also looked at Senate races. In Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, the Democrats' leads have narrowed. But in Arizona and Nevada, they're still ahead.
Overall, the race for the White House is tight. A national poll found the voters are split 48-48 between Harris and Trump. Some experts are calling this the closest election in U. S. history.
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questions
Given the narrowing gaps in certain states, how crucial will get-out-the-vote efforts be for both candidates?
What role do margins of error play in interpreting the results of the polls?
How might the historical track record and transparency of Siena College/New York Times influence the validity of these polls?
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