Who's Ahead in the Swing States?
USASun Nov 03 2024
In the final days before the election, a poll by Siena College and The New York Times has shown some interesting shifts in the swing states. Kamala Harris is leading Donald Trump in Nevada, North Carolina, Wisconsin, and Georgia. But Trump is ahead in Arizona.
The poll, released on Sunday, surveyed over 7, 800 likely voters in seven key states. It has a margin of error of about 3. 5 points.
In Pennsylvania and Michigan, the candidates are neck and neck. But in Nevada, Georgia, and North Carolina, Harris has gained ground. Trump, on the other hand, has closed the gap in Pennsylvania.
The poll also looked at Senate races. In Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, the Democrats' leads have narrowed. But in Arizona and Nevada, they're still ahead.
Overall, the race for the White House is tight. A national poll found the voters are split 48-48 between Harris and Trump. Some experts are calling this the closest election in U. S. history.
https://localnews.ai/article/whos-ahead-in-the-swing-states-70ea7df4
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questions
What factors could account for Kamala Harris's lead in multiple swing states compared to Donald Trump's lead in just one?
How significant is the margin of error in this poll, and could it potentially change the outcome in any of the swing states?
If the polls were a Trump vs. Harris comedy skit, who would win the audience’s vote?
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